Research on the Scenarios and Scenario Evolution of Unconventional Emergency Management
These years, unconventional emergencies are happening frequently, and have affected the country and the normal life of the people. Studies of unconventional emergency have become hot topics in international research. Unconventional emergency has the following features, such as high uncertainty, time pressing and serious result. Especially, high uncertainty certainly leads to the result that the decision-making main body will face various concrete conditions in the decision management of unconventional emergency, which requests us to use the contextual model to make decision and manage it effectively when the emergency occurs. This text has an analysis of scenarios and scenario evolution of unconventionality emergency, which lays a theoretic foundation for a further analyzing the type of “context- correspondence” of the decision and management in unconventionality emergency.
Chen, A., & Li, M. L. (2006). Interference management, crisis management and emergency management Concepts. Emergency Management Journal, (1), 8-10.
Deng, Y. F., & Zheng S. Z. (2006). Urban public emergency capability assessment - in a southern city as an example. China Safety Science and Technology, (2), 9-13.
Fan W. C., & Yuan H. Y. (2006). Platform of Emergency Situation and Countermeasures. Information Technology, (9), 14-17.
Fink, S. (1986). Crisis management: planning for the inevitable. New York: AMA COM.
Fishman, D. A. (1999). Crisis communication theory blended and extended. Communication, 34-38
Friedmanj H. (1974). Aprojection pursuit algorithm for exploratory data analysis. IEEE Trans. On Compute, 23(9), 881-890.
Georgoff, D. M., & Murdick, R. G. (1986). Manager’s guide to forecasting. Harvard Business Review, 1(2), 110-120.
Gershuny, J. (1976). The choice of scenarios. Futures, 8, 496-508.
Guo, J. (2004). Government emergency management practice (pp.118-123). Beijing: Central Party School Press.
Han, Z. Y. (Year). Major Research Plan “unconventional emergency management research,” the scientific background, objectives and organizational management. Chinese Science Foundation.
Hermann, C. F. (1972). International crises: insights from behavioral research (pp.112-132).New York.
Hoetmer, G. J. (1991). Emergency management: Principles and practice for local government (pp.32-36). Washington D C: International City Management Association.
Hollingsworth, R., & Kovacs, G. S. (1981). Soil slumps and debris flows: prediction and protection. Bulletin of the Association of Engineering Geologists, 38(1), 17-28.
Hooping International Conflict Analysis and Crisis Management Research. (1993, pp.12-18). Beijing: Military Yiwen Publishing House.
Hou, L., Yang, F., Zhang, Z., & Zhang, Y. (2009). Major traffic incidents in the Situation Assessment Study of Transport Information and Safety. Supplement, 1(27) 67-73.
Huang, X. Y., & Zhao D. H. (2009). Situation Assessment Research Study. Association Forum, (4), 95-96.
Kleindorder, P. R., & Saad, G. H. (2005). Managing disruption risks in supply chain. Production and Operations Management Society, 14(1), 53-58.
Lee, L. S., & Liu, T. M. (2009). Emergency Reserve System Research Progress and key scientific issues. China Safety Science and Technology, 5(6), 5-10.
Lei, M., Chi, H., & Chen, etc (2006). Emergency Management (pp.23-25). Beijing: Higher Education Press.
Liu, T. M. (2004). Emergency response system and emergency response plan. Beijing: Enterprise Management Publishing House, 2004, 21-25.
Ma, Q. G. (2009). Unconventional emergencies affecting the state of the parties factor analysis and mathematical description. Management Engineering, 23(3), 126-130.
Mitroff I. (2001). Managing crises before happen (pp.33-37). New York: American Management Association.
Mitroff, I. (2001). Managing crises before happen (pp.198-211). New York: American Management Association.
Newton, J. (1997). Federal legislation for disaster mitigation: a comparative assessment between Canada and the united states. Natural Hazards, 16(2), 219-241.
Pan, G. (1989). Contemporary international crisis. Beijing: China Social Sciences Press, 1989, 22-26.
Patel, R. K. (2005). Development of an improved managed lanes framework for management and homeland security (pp.48-52). New York: Polytechnic University.
Porter, M. E. (1982). Competitive advantage. New York: Free Press.
Robert, T. (2000). Stafford disaster relief and emergency assistance act. Public Law, 10(30), 106-390.
Schnaars, S. P. (1987). How to develop and use scenarios. Long Range Planning, 20, 105-114.
Schoemaker, Paul, J. H. (1991). When and how to use scenario: a heuristic approach with illustration. Journal of Forecasting, 1991, 10(6), 549-564.
State Council. (2006). Overall national public emergency contingency plans. People’s Daily, January 9, (10th Ed.).
Xing, J. G., & Zhao, Z. Y. (2008). Establish effective national emergency response system is imminent - U.S. “National Emergency Response Framework” Review. China Soft Science, (12), 153-155.
Xu, W. H., & Zhang, C. F. (1998). Crisis state government management (pp.121-133). Beijing: China Renmin University Press.
Xue, L., Zhang, Q., & Zhong, K. B. (2003). Crisis management a challenge in transition China (pp.23-33). Beijing: Tsinghua University Press.
Yang, X., & Deng, Y. F. (2007). National Public Emergency Management scientific problems. Progress in Natural Science, 17(4), 505-528.
Yang, L. Y. (2006). Emergency news corpus classification system. Twenty-five Chinese Information Processing Society Annual Conference (pp.403-409).
Yu, G., & Qi, X. T. (2004). Disruption management: framework, models and application (pp.23-29). Fitchburg MA: World Scientific Publishing Company.
Zhao, H., & Wang, L.(2004) U.S. Federal Emergency Management plans to see the National Emergency Management Mechanism. Project Management Technology, 1, 26-30.
- There are currently no refbacks.
If you have already registered in Journal A and plan to submit article(s) to Journal B, please click the CATEGORIES, or JOURNALS A-Z on the right side of the "HOME".
We only use three mailboxes as follows to deal with issues about paper acceptance, payment and submission of electronic versions of our journals to databases: firstname.lastname@example.org; email@example.com; firstname.lastname@example.org
Copyright © Canadian Academy of Oriental and Occidental Culture
Address: 758, 77e AV, Laval, Quebec, H7V 4A8, Canada
Telephone: 1-514-558 6138