Analysis and Evaluation on the Risks of the Construction Project

Xing-fu HU


The thesis, starting from the characteristics of the construction project, deploys the combining method of normative and empirical research. According to integrated Risk Management Paradigm, the thesis sums up the overall framework of the construction project system and proposes the evaluation index system of the risk analysis based on the Analytic Hierarchy Process. In addition, the paper puts forward a comprehensive risk evaluation model and makes clear the relative importance of various risk factors. By so doing, it provides some thoughts for the construction projects’ management and evaluation.
Key words: Construction Project; Risk Management; Risk Evaluation; Analytic Hierarchy Process
Résumé: A partir des caractéristiques du projet de construction, cette thèse utilise la méthode de combinaison de recherches normatives et de recherches empiriques. Selon le Paradigme de management de risques, cette thèse résume le cadre global du système de projet de construction et propose le système d’indexation de l’évaluation des analyses des riques, basé sur le Processus hiérarchique analytique. En plus, cet artcile met en avant un modèle d’évaluation de risques globaux et clarifie l’importance relative des différents facteurs de risque. En agissant de la sorte, il fournit quelques idées concernant la gestion et l’évaluation des projets de construction.
Mots-Clés: Projet de construction; Gestion des risques; évaluation des risques; Processus hiérarchique analytique
摘 要:本文從建設工程項目的特點出發,採用規範性研究和實證性研究相結合的方法,根據集成風險管理 範式,總結了建設工程項目風險管理系統的整體構架,運用層次分析法提出了建設專案工程風險分析的評價指標體系,並構建了建設專案工程風險的綜合評價模型,得出了判斷各個風險因素相對重要性的結論,為建 設工程項目的管理和評價提供了一些依據。
關鍵字:建設項目; 風險管理; 風險評價; 層次分析法

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